Archive for the Real Estate Category
Here’s a good story about, erahh…..justice in the deep south.
A judge in La Paloma, Rocha ruled to transfer a vast beach property of the Mar del Plata area in Rocha, valued at more than USD 4 million, to Luis Sosa for UYP 17,000 (USD 750) using the adverse possession (squatter’s rights) rule. In Uruguay, adverse possession implies that if for 30 years an individual has behaved as the owner of the land, paying corresponding taxes and making improvements, the land becomes this persons property. (The land still has property tax debts totaling USD 100,000. Huh? Go figure.)
The municipality of Rocha requested that the judge reverse her ruling on the transfer. However, Martínez believes the municipality was late in presenting the lawsuit. The judge, Amalis Martinez said, “I don’t give anything to anyone. He has rights in accordance with the evidence and the demands of the law,” Martínez told El Este newspaper.
The 200 hectare property is near La Pedrera on route 10, between El Palenque and San Antonio. It has five kilometers of coastline and can be divided into dozens of high value seaside farms.
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Yep. Yes sir’ee. Inflation is indeed rearing its ugly head.
Here in Uruguay, the government claims the official rate of inflation is 8.5%. Yeah, sure. The tooth fairy gave them that number. Based on my by gosh and by golly assessment, in January 2008 prices were, on average, at least 15% above December 2007. Food prices up 20%, and other items like medications were up 35%. Building materials skyrocketed 30% from between Spring of 2007 and now. (By the way, inflation is an issue on a planetary level right now; it’s not just Uruguay.) However, this region is legendary for its insane inflation levels, 300%….. the sky has been the limit.
So what does that mean if you’re a prospective real estate investor? In moderation, inflation is very good for hard assets like real estate. When it goes to extremes, like what is happening in Argentina right now (23% so they say, ah huh), it always turns out ugly. The economic crisis of 2001 - 2002 in Uruguay and Argentina is one way the drama could unfold. For those of you that don’t know, the bottom fell out here. It was one nasty mother!
How the story will actually play out in a hyper inflation scenario is impossible to know, but as I said, the ending is never pretty. If you feel this is just a temporary blip, or it won’t get too far out of hand, invest! If you believe hyper inflation is in play, I’d leave my checkbook at home when you come to visit our beautiful coast.
Stay Tuned!
Steve Bowman
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The Holy Grail of many international real estate investors is the good deal on a beachfront home. Fortune magazine, had an article about the deals that are now available in the US due to the real estate crisis.
This article talks about the price implosion in Florida’s panhandle, among other battered locations. After a 25% - 30% swoon, you can now get a beachfront condo for less than $500,000. Big deal!
I know it’s a long way down here, but for that kind of money, you can get a small but nice place in La Bara. By the way, the panhandle ain’t up to La Bara standards; not by a long shot. For $200,000 a nice beach house can be had in the greater Piriapolis area.
Does it mean real estate here is a bargain? That’s impossible to say. However, if your primary motive is a second home, not wild speculation, our pristine coastline deserves a look.
Stay Tuned!
Steve Bowman
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Well there’s nothing like being wrong to right the ship.
In a post a couple of weeks ago, I talked about the search engine terms we place very well with. A prospective client checked it out and found the assessment is correct. However, he let me know that we missed the boat on a Luxury Homes Uruguay search, a prized term with Google’s pay per click program.
(If you’re wondering why this matters, finding a property with ease through an internet search is a key leg in an international marketing program.)
We’ve check this out and here’s what we discovered. For some mysterious reason, we started showing up of the first page with a Luxury Homes Uruguay search, which is good. We’ll continue to watch and see if the favorable ranking continues.
The short coming we haven’t be able to rectify is the the Luxury Real Estate Uruguay problem.
Stay Tuned!
Steve Bowman
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Two people contacted me last week that are coming to Uruguay to buy modest pieces of real estate. In both cases, people from the US are planning on using Equity Lines of Credit based on the prime rate to finance the purchases. They also plan and renting the units.
This could be a terrible idea if one is on a budget. Here’s why.
Say you’re buying a 2 bedroom property for $125,000; with closing costs (9%) the total tab will be about $136,250. With 50,000 down, the financed amount is 86,250. Existing Equity Lines today frequently have rates at prime, 5.25%. The monthly interest cost is $377/month or 4,524 annually. There are too many Performa possibilities to be specific, but lets just say it will be a challenge to cover the interest costs with rental income. That’s before taxes, utilities, common area (if any), management fees and furniture costs are considered.
Just six months ago prime was 8.25% and the monthly tab would have been $593, about 216 more per month. The negative monthly cash flow in the example would easily top $300/month. If your reaction is big deal, great! Your finances are probably pretty sound; it’s not a lot of money. However, if feeding a property perhaps $4,000/year is worrisome, be careful!
I firmly believe this is the onset of an inflationary cycle. Interest rates will go up and they could shoot past 8.25% like a bullet. For those of you too young to remember, the last time we had a cataclysmic inflation burst, prime went to 20%. Even if rates only reach 12%, the monthly interest rate expense in the example bulges to $863. Negative annual cash flow from the interest alone becomes $10,356 year.
If you share my feeling about the risk, look into a second mortgage with a fixed rate.
Plan on prosperity and prepare for disaster. Use credit wisely. Be Safe.
Stay Tuned!
Steve Bowman
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I’ve talked about the effect of the crashing dollar for some time now. In some cases, at least in theory, real estate prices should be flat or decreasing in relation to strong currencies. (Property prices are in US dollars.)
What’s happening with the US dollar is a full-fledged economic catastrophe in the making. As always, there are totally unexpected twists and turns with any economic crisis. Here’s an example:
We have an exclusive listing for an Ocean View Estate here in Piriapolis. The owner of the property is European and strong currencies (Euro and Swiss Francs) were used to build this mansion. The owner’s response for the dollar debacle was to raise the price of the property to partially compensate for the Buck’s decline. The price for the estate was increased last week from $2,260,000 to $2,460,000 - about 9%.
This is not a lot of money in this price range, but it is interesting. By the way, other owners of properties that were financed by strong currencies have also moved the price peg a bit higher.
The question is, will these price increases stick?
Stay Tuned!
Steve Bowman
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We’ve had a few inquiries about advertising unique properties on our site: estates, mansions…..luxury property.
If you have questions about how effective this may be, do a search for: luxury property uruguay, luxury real estate uruguay, mansions uruguay, estates, etc you’ll find we come on the first page, sometimes more than once.
All of this depends a bit on the day with Google. They have a problem giving up the luxury category for both real estate and property at the same time. Other search engines do not.
The same favorable results with another unique type of property will be equally effective because this is a blog. With an established site such as this, put up some posts about the property type and the search engines are attracted by the terminology magnets.
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My interview with the International Herald Tribune’s - Raising the Roof, is now on line.
Here’s the link: Property Investment
The interview will also be in the print addition that comes out of Paris.
Stay Tuned!
Steve Bowman
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I’m not sure what this means, if anything, for the property market here on the Uruguay Coast but it makes me wonder.
In case you don’t know, there is lots of Spanish investment here. The Iberians have purchased vast tracks of land in Rocha in the last 5 years, and some of the swank high-end developments on the Maldonado Coast are by Spanish companies. In an all out crisis like the one in Spain, two forces are in play, the players that are liquid will look for a new home (such as Uruguay.) The highly leveraged, will cease to be players in international markets.
Which of these two currents will push the market here?
Here’s a link to from The Independent Europe.
Stay Tuned!
Steve Bowman
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Kevin Brass, columnist for the International Herald Tribune has asked me to do an interview for Raising the Roof, an international real estate blog in his publication.
I’m pleased to receive the kind invitation and look for to collaboration with Kevin on future projects.
Will let you know when the article is posted.
Stay Tuned!
Steve Bowman
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